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AUSLow

Australia

Oceania|Australasia
Overall risk score
13/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$7.5B
Risk tier
Low
Trade relationship
CPTPP partner with deep economic and security alignment
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk10

Stable parliamentary democracy with strong institutions, rule of law, and transparent governance. Five Eyes intelligence-sharing partner. Foreign-policy alignment with Canada on most trade and security issues is very strong.

Economic risk14

High-income, resource-rich economy with over 30 years without recession (broken only briefly by COVID). Strong mining sector (iron ore, LNG, lithium), competitive agriculture, and growing technology sector. Fiscal position is solid.

Regulatory risk14

Transparent, well-functioning regulatory environment with high standards. Bilateral regulatory cooperation is strong. CPTPP provides additional market-access and investment-protection frameworks.

Supply chain risk14

Advanced infrastructure with major ports and efficient logistics. Geographic remoteness from Northern Hemisphere markets creates transit-time considerations. Natural-disaster exposure (bushfires, cyclones) exists but is well-managed.

Currency risk15

Australian dollar is a freely traded commodity currency. AUD/CAD is one of the most natural hedging pairs given similar commodity exposures. Both currencies track commodity-price cycles.

TRADE AGREEMENTS
  • CPTPP
TARIFF EXPOSURE

Low — CPTPP provides comprehensive preferential access. Canadian and Australian economies are more competitive than complementary in many sectors (mining, agriculture), but CPTPP facilitates services trade and investment flows.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Australia is one of Canada's closest strategic partners, sharing Westminster governance traditions, Five Eyes membership, and similar resource-based economic structures. The bilateral relationship is anchored by CPTPP and extensive people-to-people ties. Cooperation on critical-minerals supply chains, clean energy, and defense is deepening.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Australia trade corridor

  1. 1

    Mining

  2. 2

    Agriculture

  3. 3

    Education services

  4. 4

    Technology

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Mineral ores
  • Wine
  • Meat
  • Machinery
Key imports from Canada
  • Machinery
  • Vehicles
  • Aircraft parts
  • Pharmaceuticals
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Australia trade flows

ManufacturingCritical

Automotive Manufacturing

92/100$16B
ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
ManufacturingHigh

Food & Beverage Processing

54/100$32B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN OCEANIA
NZLLow

New Zealand

11/100$2.5B

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