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SWELow

Sweden

Europe|Northern Europe
Overall risk score
12/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$5.5B
Risk tier
Low
Trade relationship
CETA partner with aligned economic interests
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk10

Stable parliamentary democracy with strong institutions, transparency, and rule of law. NATO membership since 2024 deepens security alignment. Sweden consistently ranks among the least corrupt nations globally.

Economic risk12

High-income, innovation-driven economy with global leaders in technology (Ericsson, Spotify), automotive (Volvo), and mining. Property-market correction is underway but fiscal position is strong with low public debt.

Regulatory risk12

Transparent, efficient regulatory environment with strong environmental and labor standards. EU member-state framework applies. Sweden is a leader in sustainability regulation and reporting requirements.

Supply chain risk12

Advanced manufacturing capabilities and reliable logistics infrastructure. Port of Gothenburg is the largest Nordic port. Strong mining sector (LKAB iron ore, Boliden) with growing critical-minerals potential.

Currency risk15

Sweden uses the Swedish krona (SEK), not the euro. SEK has been relatively weak, benefiting Swedish exporters. Hedging markets are liquid and accessible.

TRADE AGREEMENTS
  • CETA (Canada-EU)
TARIFF EXPOSURE

Low — CETA provides preferential access. Swedish and Canadian economies are highly complementary in mining, forestry, clean technology, and innovation-intensive sectors.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Sweden is a natural partner for Canada given shared strengths in mining, forestry, clean technology, and innovation. Swedish firms are significant investors in Canada, particularly in mining and automotive. NATO membership creates new dimensions for security and defense-industrial cooperation.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Sweden trade corridor

  1. 1

    Mining

  2. 2

    Automotive (EV transition)

  3. 3

    Technology

  4. 4

    Forestry

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Vehicles
  • Machinery
  • Pharmaceuticals
  • Iron & steel
Key imports from Canada
  • Mineral ores
  • Machinery
  • Aircraft parts
  • Wood products
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Sweden trade flows

ManufacturingCritical

Automotive Manufacturing

92/100$16B
ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
ManufacturingCritical

Wood Products Manufacturing

78/100$8.2B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN EUROPE
GBRLow

United Kingdom

17/100$32B
DEULow

Germany

16/100$24B
FRALow

France

18/100$14B
ITALow

Italy

22/100$10B
NLDLow

Netherlands

12/100$12B
BELLow

Belgium

15/100$8B

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