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Forestry & FishingHighNAICS 1141

Commercial Fishing

Fishing|Updated 2025-04-15
Tariff impact score
50/100
GDP contribution
$3.2B
Employment
45,000 direct jobs (including seasonal)
Trade flow
Export-heavy
US trade exposure
65% of seafood exports to US
Tariff impact score50
KEY PRODUCTS
  • Atlantic lobster
  • Snow crab
  • Atlantic salmon (wild-caught)
  • Shrimp
  • Scallops
  • Groundfish
AFFECTED TARIFF CODES
0306030203030307
MITIGATION STRATEGIES
  1. 1

    Develop live lobster logistics for direct Asian market shipment

  2. 2

    Invest in value-added seafood processing (cooked, frozen, ready-to-eat products)

  3. 3

    Pursue sustainable fishery certifications (MSC) for premium market access

  4. 4

    Diversify species mix as climate change shifts available stocks

  5. 5

    Build cold chain infrastructure at border crossings for perishable seafood

CUSMA IMPACT

Seafood products generally trade duty-free under CUSMA, but US country-of-origin labelling and seafood import monitoring program (SIMP) requirements create significant compliance burden. Lobster and crab exports face periodic anti-dumping investigations initiated by US fishing industry groups. CUSMA does not address fisheries management disputes that affect bilateral stock allocation and market access.

SUPPLY CHAIN RISK

Atlantic fisheries face climate-driven species migration that is shifting crab and lobster populations northward. Live lobster exports require uninterrupted cold chain logistics, making border delays potentially catastrophic for product quality. Seasonal production concentration creates workforce and processing capacity challenges during peak harvest periods.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Canadian lobster dominates the global premium market but faces competition from Maine lobster in the US market. Asian demand for Canadian lobster and crab has grown dramatically, providing diversification from US market dependence. Competition from farmed seafood (Atlantic salmon, shrimp) pressures wild-caught species pricing in commodity segments.

OUTLOOK

Growing global protein demand and premium seafood consumption trends support long-term growth. Climate-driven species migration is reshaping harvest composition and geographic patterns. Asian market development provides the most significant diversification opportunity away from US market concentration.

OTHER INDUSTRIES IN FORESTRY & FISHING
LoggingCritical

Softwood Lumber

82/100$7.8B
AquacultureModerate

Aquaculture

42/100$1.6B

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