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EnergyModerateNAICS 2122

Uranium Mining & Nuclear Energy

Uranium Mining & Fuel Processing|Updated 2025-04-15
Tariff impact score
34/100
GDP contribution
$2.4B
Employment
8,500 direct jobs
Trade flow
Export-heavy
US trade exposure
45% of uranium exports to US utilities
Tariff impact score34
KEY PRODUCTS
  • Uranium yellowcake (U3O8)
  • Uranium hexafluoride (UF6)
  • Nuclear fuel bundles
  • Small modular reactor (SMR) technology
  • Nuclear medicine isotopes
AFFECTED TARIFF CODES
261228442845
MITIGATION STRATEGIES
  1. 1

    Secure long-term supply contracts with US and Asian utility customers

  2. 2

    Invest in SMR technology commercialization for domestic and export markets

  3. 3

    Expand fuel fabrication and conversion services to capture downstream value

  4. 4

    Strengthen nuclear regulatory cooperation with US NRC for technology licensing

  5. 5

    Position Canadian uranium as a critical mineral for energy security frameworks

CUSMA IMPACT

Uranium trade is governed more by nuclear cooperation agreements and IAEA safeguards than by tariff frameworks. US Section 232 investigations into uranium imports have periodically threatened Canadian access, though bilateral nuclear cooperation has historically protected Canadian suppliers. CUSMA does not specifically address nuclear materials, leaving the sector dependent on bilateral nuclear agreements and US energy policy.

SUPPLY CHAIN RISK

Saskatchewan's Athabasca Basin hosts the world's highest-grade uranium deposits, giving Cameco a structural cost advantage. US enrichment and conversion capacity constraints create dependency on Canadian and European fuel cycle services. Regulatory timelines for new mine development (10-15 years) limit supply response to demand surges.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Canada is the world's second-largest uranium producer behind Kazakhstan. Cameco's high-grade deposits produce at costs significantly below global averages. Competition from Kazakh state-owned Kazatomprom and emerging African producers pressures pricing, but quality and reliability premiums support Canadian market share.

OUTLOOK

The global nuclear renaissance, driven by net-zero commitments and energy security concerns, strongly favours Canadian uranium producers. SMR technology represents a transformative export opportunity. Near-term trade risk is manageable given the strategic nature of nuclear fuel and limited substitution options.

OTHER INDUSTRIES IN ENERGY
Oil ExtractionCritical

Oil Sands & Heavy Crude Production

88/100$48B
Natural Gas ExtractionCritical

Natural Gas Production & Export

73/100$16B
Electric Power GenerationModerate

Electricity & Hydropower

32/100$22B
Petroleum RefineriesHigh

Petroleum Refining

53/100$8.5B
Renewable Electric PowerModerate

Renewable Energy

40/100$5.4B

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