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CHLLow

Chile

Latin America|South America
Overall risk score
25/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$3.5B
Risk tier
Low
Trade relationship
FTA and CPTPP partner; strong mining ties
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk25

Stable democracy with strong institutions. Constitutional-reform process has concluded without radical change. Social-inequality concerns persist and drive periodic protests. Governance quality is the highest in Latin America.

Economic risk22

Upper-middle-income economy with strong macroeconomic fundamentals and fiscal discipline (sovereign wealth fund). Heavy dependence on copper exports creates commodity-cycle vulnerability. Lithium resources are a growing strategic asset.

Regulatory risk25

Transparent, well-functioning regulatory environment by Latin American standards. Mining royalty reforms have increased fiscal take but remain competitive globally. FTA network provides strong investor protections.

Supply chain risk25

World's largest copper producer and a major lithium source. Port infrastructure is adequate. Geographic distance from major markets and earthquake exposure are inherent logistics risks. Counter-seasonal agriculture provides export diversification.

Currency risk30

Chilean peso is freely floating and correlated with copper prices. Central Bank of Chile is credible with strong reserves. Hedging instruments are accessible through major international banks.

TRADE AGREEMENTS
  • Canada-Chile FTA
  • CPTPP
TARIFF EXPOSURE

Very Low — dual FTA coverage (bilateral and CPTPP) provides comprehensive preferential access. Nearly all trade between Canada and Chile is duty-free. Investment protections are strong under both agreements.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Chile is Canada's most natural partner in Latin America, sharing open-economy orientations, strong institutions, and complementary resource endowments. Chilean copper and lithium are critical inputs for the energy transition. Canadian mining firms have extensive operations in Chile. The dual FTA framework provides exceptional market access and investment certainty.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Chile trade corridor

  1. 1

    Mining (copper, lithium)

  2. 2

    Agriculture

  3. 3

    Seafood

  4. 4

    Wine

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Copper
  • Fruits
  • Wine
  • Seafood
Key imports from Canada
  • Machinery
  • Wheat
  • Pulses
  • Fertilizers
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Chile trade flows

ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
AgricultureModerate

Grain & Cereal Crops

42/100$11.5B
Mining & ResourcesLow

Copper Mining

22/100$5.8B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN LATIN AMERICA
BRAModerate

Brazil

42/100$10B
COLModerate

Colombia

48/100$2.5B
ARGHigh

Argentina

62/100$2B

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