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COLModerate

Colombia

Latin America|South America
Overall risk score
48/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$2.5B
Risk tier
Moderate
Trade relationship
FTA partner with bilateral investment treaty
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk55

Democracy with functioning institutions but significant governance challenges. Current left-leaning government has pursued ambitious social and economic reforms that have created policy uncertainty. Peace-process implementation with FARC continues unevenly. Security conditions vary significantly by region.

Economic risk40

Diversified economy with oil, mining, and agricultural sectors alongside growing services and technology segments. Fiscal position is manageable but constrained. Current-account deficits require sustained external financing.

Regulatory risk50

Regulatory environment is undergoing significant changes under the current government. Mining and energy-sector regulations are being reviewed. FTA protections provide some investor safeguards. Anti-corruption efforts are ongoing.

Supply chain risk50

Geographic complexity (three Andean ranges) creates logistics challenges. Port infrastructure is adequate but road connectivity to interior regions is limited. Security conditions along certain trade routes remain a concern.

Currency risk45

Colombian peso is volatile, highly sensitive to oil prices and global risk sentiment. The central bank maintains a floating-rate regime with credible inflation-targeting. Hedging instruments are available but costs can be elevated.

TRADE AGREEMENTS
  • Canada-Colombia FTA
TARIFF EXPOSURE

Low — bilateral FTA provides preferential access for most Canadian exports. Wheat and pulses benefit from significant tariff reductions. Mining and energy investments are covered by the bilateral investment treaty.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Colombia is an important partner in the Americas with deep ties through the FTA and bilateral investment treaty. Canadian mining companies have significant operations in Colombia. The evolving policy environment under the current government requires active monitoring. Colombia's geographic position and Pacific Alliance membership provide strategic value.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Colombia trade corridor

  1. 1

    Mining

  2. 2

    Energy

  3. 3

    Agriculture

  4. 4

    Coffee

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Coffee
  • Crude petroleum
  • Flowers
  • Gold
Key imports from Canada
  • Wheat
  • Machinery
  • Pulses
  • Paper products
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Colombia trade flows

ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
AgricultureModerate

Grain & Cereal Crops

42/100$11.5B
Mining & ResourcesLow

Gold Mining

18/100$14B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN LATIN AMERICA
BRAModerate

Brazil

42/100$10B
CHLLow

Chile

25/100$3.5B
ARGHigh

Argentina

62/100$2B

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