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PHLModerate

Philippines

Asia-Pacific|Southeast Asia
Overall risk score
43/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$3.5B
Risk tier
Moderate
Trade relationship
Modest bilateral trade with strong people-to-people ties
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk45

Presidential democracy with strong executive powers and periodic volatility around elections. Rule of law is uneven. Significant Filipino diaspora in Canada strengthens bilateral ties but political dynamics domestically remain unpredictable.

Economic risk40

Fast-growing economy driven by services, remittances, and infrastructure spending. Poverty rates remain elevated and fiscal space is constrained. Business-process outsourcing sector is a key GDP contributor.

Regulatory risk50

Complex regulatory environment with significant bureaucratic barriers. Foreign-ownership restrictions remain in place across many sectors despite recent liberalization efforts. Enforcement is inconsistent.

Supply chain risk45

Growing role in electronics assembly and BPO services but manufacturing depth is limited. Infrastructure deficits and natural-disaster exposure (typhoons, earthquakes) create logistics vulnerabilities.

Currency risk40

Philippine peso is managed by Bangko Sentral with a track record of relative stability within EM context. Current-account deficits and remittance dependency create structural vulnerability to global economic cycles.

TRADE AGREEMENTS

No bilateral or multilateral trade agreements on file.

TARIFF EXPOSURE

Moderate — no bilateral FTA. Philippine tariffs on Canadian wheat and agricultural products are meaningful. The Philippines' participation in RCEP provides preferential access to other Asian nations but not Canada directly.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

The Philippines is strategically important for Canada given the large Filipino-Canadian diaspora (one of Canada's largest immigrant communities). Bilateral trade is modest but growing. Infrastructure investment needs are enormous, creating potential opportunities for Canadian engineering and project-finance firms.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Philippines trade corridor

  1. 1

    Agriculture

  2. 2

    Services (BPO)

  3. 3

    Infrastructure

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Electrical machinery
  • Machinery
  • Prepared foods
  • Textiles
Key imports from Canada
  • Wheat
  • Machinery
  • Fertilizers
  • Mineral products
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Philippines trade flows

ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
ManufacturingModerate

Textile & Apparel Manufacturing

38/100$2.8B
AgricultureModerate

Grain & Cereal Crops

42/100$11.5B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN ASIA-PACIFIC
CHNHigh

China

65/100$115B
JPNLow

Japan

18/100$32B
KORLow

South Korea

22/100$18B
INDModerate

India

45/100$14B
TWNModerate

Taiwan

35/100$11B
VNMModerate

Vietnam

42/100$12B

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