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TWNModerate

Taiwan

Asia-Pacific|East Asia
Overall risk score
35/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$11B
Risk tier
Moderate
Trade relationship
Significant trade partner; no formal FTA due to diplomatic constraints
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk55

Vibrant democracy with strong rule of law domestically, but cross-strait tensions with China represent the most significant geopolitical flashpoint in the region. A military conflict scenario would have catastrophic global economic consequences.

Economic risk15

Advanced, high-income economy with world-leading semiconductor manufacturing. Strong fiscal position and low public debt. Economy is highly trade-dependent, creating exposure to global demand cycles.

Regulatory risk20

Transparent, well-functioning regulatory environment aligned with international standards. Market access for Canadian agricultural products is facilitated through bilateral frameworks despite the absence of a formal FTA.

Supply chain risk45

Taiwan produces over 60% of global advanced semiconductors through TSMC. This extreme concentration creates systemic risk for global technology supply chains. Any disruption would cascade across automotive, electronics, and defense sectors worldwide.

Currency risk25

New Taiwan dollar is managed with central bank intervention. Currency is stable in normal conditions but would face extreme pressure in any cross-strait escalation scenario.

TRADE AGREEMENTS

No bilateral or multilateral trade agreements on file.

TARIFF EXPOSURE

Moderate — absence of a formal FTA limits preferential access, but Taiwan's applied tariffs are generally moderate. Agricultural products face higher tariff barriers. Investment screening in sensitive technology sectors is increasing.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Taiwan's outsized role in global semiconductor supply chains makes it strategically critical despite its relatively small economy. Canadian firms with any semiconductor-dependent operations should stress-test their supply chains against cross-strait scenarios. Canada's engagement with Taiwan is constrained by the one-China policy framework.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Taiwan trade corridor

  1. 1

    Technology (semiconductors)

  2. 2

    Natural resources

  3. 3

    Agriculture

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Semiconductors
  • Electrical machinery
  • Machinery
  • Plastics
Key imports from Canada
  • Coal
  • Copper ores
  • Canola
  • Machinery
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Taiwan trade flows

ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
AgricultureHigh

Canola & Oilseed Production

56/100$13.5B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN ASIA-PACIFIC
CHNHigh

China

65/100$115B
JPNLow

Japan

18/100$32B
KORLow

South Korea

22/100$18B
INDModerate

India

45/100$14B
VNMModerate

Vietnam

42/100$12B
IDNModerate

Indonesia

44/100$6.5B

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