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THAModerate

Thailand

Asia-Pacific|Southeast Asia
Overall risk score
38/100
Trade volume (CAD)
$7B
Risk tier
Moderate
Trade relationship
Established trade partner; no bilateral FTA
RISK FACTOR BREAKDOWN
Political risk40

Constitutional monarchy with a history of military interventions. Current civilian government operates under a military-drafted constitution. Political polarization persists but has not recently disrupted economic activity or trade.

Economic risk30

Upper-middle-income economy with established manufacturing base, particularly in automotive and electronics. Growth has lagged regional peers due to aging demographics and household debt. Tourism recovery post-pandemic has supported services.

Regulatory risk40

Reasonably transparent regulatory environment for ASEAN standards. Foreign-ownership restrictions in key sectors and complex land laws remain barriers. BOI investment incentives are competitive but application processes are bureaucratic.

Supply chain risk35

Major automotive manufacturing hub (largest in ASEAN) and significant food-processing center. Well-developed logistics infrastructure centered on Laem Chabang port. Flood risk in central industrial zones is a recurring concern.

Currency risk35

Thai baht is relatively liquid for an emerging-market currency but sensitive to global risk appetite and tourism flows. Bank of Thailand manages currency actively; reserves are substantial.

TRADE AGREEMENTS

No bilateral or multilateral trade agreements on file.

TARIFF EXPOSURE

Moderate — no bilateral FTA with Canada, so MFN tariffs apply. Thailand is a CPTPP applicant, which would improve access if accession is completed. Current tariffs on Canadian agricultural exports (wheat, pulses) are meaningful.

STRATEGIC CONSIDERATIONS

Thailand is ASEAN's second-largest economy and a major automotive manufacturing hub. Its potential CPTPP accession would be strategically beneficial for Canadian exporters. The country is positioning itself as a regional EV-manufacturing center, creating opportunities for Canadian critical-minerals and battery-materials firms.

SECTOR VULNERABILITIES

Key sectors exposed to risk in the Thailand trade corridor

  1. 1

    Automotive

  2. 2

    Agriculture

  3. 3

    Food processing

TRADE FLOWS
Key exports to Canada
  • Machinery
  • Rubber
  • Electrical machinery
  • Prepared foods
Key imports from Canada
  • Wheat
  • Machinery
  • Lentils
  • Wood pulp
KEY INDUSTRIES

Canadian industries connected to Thailand trade flows

ManufacturingHigh

Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing

58/100$11B
ManufacturingHigh

Industrial Machinery & Equipment

52/100$9.2B
ManufacturingHigh

Chemical Manufacturing

61/100$14.5B
AgricultureModerate

Grain & Cereal Crops

42/100$11.5B
OTHER COUNTRIES IN ASIA-PACIFIC
CHNHigh

China

65/100$115B
JPNLow

Japan

18/100$32B
KORLow

South Korea

22/100$18B
INDModerate

India

45/100$14B
TWNModerate

Taiwan

35/100$11B
VNMModerate

Vietnam

42/100$12B

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